「Odds in statistics and Odds in a horse race」の版間の差分
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9行目: | 9行目: | ||
===A race that 5 horses start and 10 bettors bet=== | ===A race that 5 horses start and 10 bettors bet=== | ||
− | Here is a horse race that 5 horses start and | + | Here is a horse race that 5 horses start and 20 people — 20 bettors — bet each of 5 horses. |
Names of horses are A, B, C, D and E. | Names of horses are A, B, C, D and E. | ||
17行目: | 17行目: | ||
!style="width:50px"|Horses | !style="width:50px"|Horses | ||
|- | |- | ||
− | |A | + | |style="text-align:center"|A |
|- | |- | ||
− | |B | + | |style="text-align:center"|B |
|- | |- | ||
− | |C | + | |style="text-align:center"|C |
|- | |- | ||
− | |D | + | |style="text-align:center"|D |
|- | |- | ||
− | |E | + | |style="text-align:center"|E |
|} | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | Each bettor bets $1 for one horse. All bet money are pooled ($20 pooled in total) and will be redistributed for bettors who bet a winning horse. | ||
+ | |||
+ | Now each all bettors bet as following: | ||
+ | |||
+ | {|class="wikitable" | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | !style="width:50px"|Horses | ||
+ | !style="width:80px"|Bettors | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |style="text-align:center"|A | ||
+ | |10 bettors | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |style="text-align:center"|B | ||
+ | |5 bettors | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |style="text-align:center"|C | ||
+ | |3 bettors | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |style="text-align:center"|D | ||
+ | |2 bettors | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | |style="text-align:center"|E | ||
+ | |1 bettor | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===Results=== |
2022年11月6日 (日) 23:26時点における版
目次
Definition of Odds in statistics
[math]\displaystyle{ Odds=\frac{probability\ that\ the\ outcome\ occurs}{probability\ that\ the\ outcome\ does\ not\ occur} }[/math]
Example of a horse rase
Assumption
In order to simplify, the bookmaker in the following scenario does not charge any betting fees
A race that 5 horses start and 10 bettors bet
Here is a horse race that 5 horses start and 20 people — 20 bettors — bet each of 5 horses.
Names of horses are A, B, C, D and E.
Horses |
---|
A |
B |
C |
D |
E |
Each bettor bets $1 for one horse. All bet money are pooled ($20 pooled in total) and will be redistributed for bettors who bet a winning horse.
Now each all bettors bet as following:
Horses | Bettors |
---|---|
A | 10 bettors |
B | 5 bettors |
C | 3 bettors |
D | 2 bettors |
E | 1 bettor |